Preseason Rankings
America East
2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
96 Vermont 54.3%   13   0 - 0 0 - 0 17 - 4 13 - 3 +5.5      +2.3 114 +3.2 88 65.0 275 0.0 1 0.0 1
202 Maryland Baltimore Co. 11.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 11 9 - 7 -2.6      -1.6 216 -1.0 202 65.8 257 0.0 1 0.0 1
205 New Hampshire 11.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 8 9 - 7 -3.1      -3.6 275 +0.5 153 69.6 151 0.0 1 0.0 1
224 Stony Brook 8.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 11 9 - 7 -4.1      -5.0 308 +0.9 142 72.1 87 0.0 1 0.0 1
264 Albany 5.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 10 8 - 8 -6.1      -4.1 291 -1.9 228 69.3 165 0.0 1 0.0 1
267 Hartford 4.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 11 7 - 9 -6.2      -4.7 301 -1.5 218 68.6 184 0.0 1 0.0 1
279 Umass Lowell 4.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 13 7 - 9 -6.6      -0.6 188 -6.1 326 73.8 61 0.0 1 0.0 1
328 Maine 0.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 6 - 17 5 - 11 -12.2      -8.5 338 -3.8 284 63.9 298 0.0 1 0.0 1
329 Binghamton 0.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 7 - 17 4 - 12 -12.2      -4.9 304 -7.3 334 69.3 166 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 1.5 71.0 16.6 6.6 3.0 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1
Maryland Baltimore Co. 3.7 12.3 20.6 18.6 15.8 12.9 9.0 6.2 3.4 1.3
New Hampshire 3.7 11.9 22.6 18.5 14.7 12.1 8.4 6.1 3.9 1.8
Stony Brook 4.1 8.6 18.6 17.7 16.2 13.3 10.3 7.6 5.1 2.7
Albany 4.9 4.1 11.3 14.1 14.7 14.8 14.2 12.6 9.0 5.2
Hartford 5.1 4.0 9.5 12.6 14.3 15.6 15.5 13.8 9.8 4.9
Umass Lowell 5.2 4.1 8.8 11.6 13.0 15.3 15.3 14.6 10.9 6.4
Maine 7.1 0.3 1.7 3.2 5.3 8.4 11.9 17.3 24.6 27.3
Binghamton 7.3 0.4 1.5 3.2 4.8 7.3 10.6 16.1 23.8 32.4




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 13 - 3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.7 4.9 7.8 11.9 16.4 19.8 20.3 13.4
Maryland Baltimore Co. 9 - 7 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.5 4.3 6.9 9.9 11.7 13.5 13.5 12.6 9.6 7.4 4.1 1.7 0.5
New Hampshire 9 - 7 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.9 4.4 6.7 8.8 11.4 12.7 13.2 12.5 10.6 7.7 4.5 1.6 0.4
Stony Brook 9 - 7 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.4 3.8 5.7 7.9 10.6 12.7 13.4 12.7 10.7 8.5 5.8 3.1 1.0 0.2
Albany 8 - 8 0.2 0.9 2.4 4.4 6.5 9.5 11.5 12.9 12.5 12.1 10.2 7.6 5.2 2.5 1.0 0.4 0.0
Hartford 7 - 9 0.2 0.8 2.1 4.2 7.8 10.6 12.6 13.9 12.7 11.5 9.3 6.7 4.1 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1
Umass Lowell 7 - 9 0.3 1.2 3.2 5.3 8.2 10.8 12.7 13.5 12.0 10.7 8.5 6.1 3.8 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
Maine 5 - 11 2.9 7.6 12.3 14.7 15.5 13.7 11.5 8.7 5.9 3.4 2.0 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Binghamton 4 - 12 4.4 9.9 12.9 15.3 14.9 13.2 10.1 7.4 5.1 3.3 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 71.0% 59.4 9.9 1.5 0.1 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 12.3% 7.2 4.0 0.9 0.1 0.0
New Hampshire 11.9% 7.1 3.9 0.8 0.1 0.0
Stony Brook 8.6% 4.9 2.8 0.8 0.1 0.0
Albany 4.1% 2.2 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
Hartford 4.0% 2.1 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
Umass Lowell 4.1% 2.3 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0
Maine 0.3% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Binghamton 0.4% 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 54.3% 53.3% 0.9% 13   0.1 0.2 0.3 1.0 1.1 1.2 0.8 0.7 1.2 1.6 3.2 9.1 15.5 11.1 5.6 1.8 45.7 2.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 11.6% 11.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.7 3.1 3.8 88.4 0.0%
New Hampshire 11.0% 11.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.7 3.3 2.9 89.0 0.0%
Stony Brook 8.3% 8.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.7 2.6 2.8 91.7 0.0%
Albany 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.3 94.7 0.0%
Hartford 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.3 95.2 0.0%
Umass Lowell 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.1 95.7 0.0%
Maine 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 99.3 0.0%
Binghamton 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 99.2 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vermont 54.3% 1.2% 53.8% 11.9% 3.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 11.6% 2.1% 10.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 11.0% 1.4% 10.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stony Brook 8.3% 1.7% 7.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 5.3% 1.4% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hartford 4.8% 1.4% 4.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 4.3% 1.3% 3.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.8% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.0 1.0
1st Round 94.6% 1.0 5.4 93.9 0.7
2nd Round 14.2% 0.1 85.8 14.2 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 4.1% 0.0 95.9 4.1
Elite Eight 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0
Final Four 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0